Trump Twitter Trading-Bot


Vor ein paar Tagen ging bereits eine Story über die Bloomberg-Terminals (schweineteure Echtzeit-Terminals für den Aktienhandel) rum, in die man Twitter und damit die Möglichkeit für Trump-Tweet-Alerts integriert hatte:

Bloomberg’s years-long partnership with Twitter means the terminals, which cost about $25,000 a year each for the company’s more than 300,000 subscribers, now come with tools to track the president-elect’s every market moving statement — and make money from them.

In typical Bloomberg fashion, you can customize your alerts for Trump tweets to see only when he mentions certain companies you are following. You can see, in real time, how the things he says translate into changing public sentiment on a company, and what happens to a stock, currency, or pretty much anything else being traded on markets at the time.

Das Problem dabei: Aktienhandel nach Trump-Tweets erweisen sich als eher nicht so wirklich zuverlässig --> Trump's Tweets Aren't Stock Tips: „It’s not at all clear that Trump’s tweets have any predictable effect on stock prices.For example, Trump praised Ford Motor Co. on Nov. 17 for keeping a plant in Kentucky rather than moving it to Mexico. Ford’s stock is up 3 percent through Friday. Several weeks later, however, Trump criticized General Motors Co. on Jan. 3 for selling Mexican-made cars in the U.S. GM’s stock is up, too -- 6.2 percent through Friday.“

Mit dem im Hinterkopf sollte man also aktuelle Meldungen um die PR-Aktion einen Trading-Bot der Werbeagentur T3 lesen: spOnline: Aktien-Wetten gegen Konzerne – Kasse machen, wenn Trump twittert: „'Trump & Dump' soll es Anlegern ermöglichen, vor anderen Spekulanten darauf zu reagieren, wenn Trump mal wieder eine Firma aufs Korn nimmt, weil sie etwa im benachbarten Mexiko produziert. Laut Firmenangaben analysiert das Programm in Sekundenbruchteilen, ob in einem Trump-Tweet ein börsennotiertes Unternehmen erwähnt wird, und ob es sich um einen negativen Kontext handelt. Über eine elektronische Handels-Plattform platziere der Bot dann eine Art Wette darauf, dass der Kurs sinken werde. Solche Transaktionen werden als Leerverkäufe oder Short-Wette bezeichnet.“

The Register: This bot shorts stocks when Trump tweets (don't fret, the profit is used for good)

US President Donald Trump's tweets about Boeing, General Motors, and Toyota have affected the companies' stock price – and creative agency T3 believes that consequence will be repeated. So the self-styled think tank created the Trump and Dump Bot to profit from presidential tweet-lashings. The bot shorts stocks based on the algorithmically detected sentiment expressed in the tweet – the assumption being that castigation by Trump will depress the value of the stock.

A short sale involves borrowing shares and immediately selling them, then buying them back at a lower price once the stock declines – in order to pocket the difference in price. The risk is that the stock might rise, requiring the short seller to rebuy the shorted stock at a higher price.

Ben Gaddis, president of T3, in a phone interview with The Register, said the firm is not releasing the amount that it has earned but claims the company has made two donations so far to the American Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Animals (ASPCA). "So the whole thing actually saves puppies," the company claims.

Aber naja, für Trump wie Trader gilt natürlich immer noch der olle Carlin:

Everybody knows by now, all businessmen are completely full of shit; just the worst kind of low-life, criminal, cocksuckers you could ever wanna' run into - a fuckin' piece of shit businessman. And the proof of it, the proof of it is, they don't even trust each other. They don't trust one another. When a business man sits down to negotiate a deal, the first thing he does is to automatically assume that the other guy is a complete lying prick who's trying to fuck him outta his money. So he's gotta do everything he can to fuck the other guy a little bit faster and a little bit harder. And he's gotta do it with a big smile on his face. You know that big, bullshit businessman smile